The favourite on Polymarket is Google at 64%, followed by Anthropic at 30% and OpenAI at 4%.
Google moved the most this week: 55% to 64% (+8.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | +3.0 pts | +8.5 pts | $78k | |
| Anthropic | 30% | −0.5 pts | −5.0 pts | $34k |
| OpenAI | 4% | −0.2 pts | −1.3 pts | $23k |
A price of 64% means traders pay $0.64 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Google · No | $108k | −$108k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Anthropic · No | $52k | −$52k |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | Google · Yes | $18k | +$7k |
| eNakeVets | Google · No | $15k | −$2k |
| The-Joker | Google · Yes | $14k | +$5k |
| BigMackyG | Google · Yes | $14k | +$7k |
| eCash | Google · Yes | $12k | +$5k |
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Google · No | $10k | −$1k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.