As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are 1490+ at 12%, 1495+ at 12% and 1500+ at 12%.
1510+ moved the most this week: 11% to 8% (−3.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1480+ | 11% | +0.5 pts | −2.8 pts | $2k |
| 1490+ | 12% | +0.6 pts | 0.0 pts | $643 |
| 1495+ | 12% | +0.5 pts | 0.0 pts | $0 |
| 1500+ | 12% | 0.0 pts | +1.0 pts | $0 |
| 1510+ | 8% | −4.0 pts | −3.0 pts | $0 |
A price of 12% means traders pay about $0.12 for a “1495+” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| lamyk | 1480+ · No | $4k | +$4k |
| cat6767 | 1500+ · No | $3k | +$943 |
| balthazar | 1495+ · No | $1k | +$406 |
| libratus1 | 1510+ · No | $1k | +$336 |
| JokerTheClown | 1480+ · No | $1k | +$213 |
| Djibooty | 1500+ · No | $905 | +$202 |
| sobaka.yebaka | 1490+ · No | $794 | +$524 |
| pizdi.bolyu | 1490+ · No | $639 | +$377 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.