As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are 1520+ at 72%, 1530+ at 38% and 1540+ at 16%.
1520+ moved the most this week: 67% to 72% (+5.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1500+ | 94% | +0.2 pts | +0.4 pts | $696 |
| 1510+ | 84% | +1.5 pts | −0.5 pts | $12k |
| 1520+ | 72% | −0.5 pts | +5.0 pts | $0 |
| 1530+ | 38% | +1.0 pts | +0.5 pts | $0 |
| 1540+ | 16% | −7.5 pts | −4.0 pts | $13k |
A price of 94% means traders pay about $0.94 for a “1500+” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | 1540+ · No | $3k | +$515 |
| Hannah-Montana | 1530+ · No | $2k | +$21 |
| 0xe38e…50c8 | 1510+ · Yes | $2k | +$58 |
| rando12345 | 1500+ · Yes | $2k | +$10 |
| mewmew1 | 1520+ · Yes | $1k | −$3 |
| Hannah-Montana | 1540+ · No | $1k | +$184 |
| mewmew1 | 1510+ · Yes | $1k | −$85 |
| 0xe74d…22fd | 1520+ · Yes | $1k | +$210 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.