As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are 55%+ at 94%, 60%+ at 48% and 65%+ at 24%.
60%+ moved the most this week: 52% to 48% (−4.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50%+ | 98% | +0.1 pts | −1.2 pts | $0 |
| 55%+ | 94% | 0.0 pts | −1.6 pts | $0 |
| 60%+ | 48% | −0.5 pts | −4.0 pts | $4k |
| 65%+ | 24% | 0.0 pts | 0.0 pts | $0 |
A price of 98% means traders pay about $0.98 for a “50%+” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| lamyk | 55%+ · Yes | $1k | +$66 |
| lamyk | 60%+ · Yes | $997 | +$254 |
| KimchiCapital | 55%+ · Yes | $716 | +$113 |
| iutwpfal | 60%+ · No | $678 | +$146 |
| iutwpfal | 50%+ · Yes | $604 | +$25 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.