As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is CJ Carr at 29%, followed by Darian Mensah at 26% and Jeremiah Smith at 22%.
CJ Carr moved the most this week: 6% to 29% (+23.1 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Carr | 29% | +15.1 pts | +23.1 pts | $4k |
| Darian Mensah | 26% | −3.0 pts | −8.0 pts | $11k |
| Jeremiah Smith | 22% | −14.5 pts | 0.0 pts | $207k |
| Gunner Stockton | 3% | +1.9 pts | +2.1 pts | $760 |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 1% | −7.6 pts | −2.4 pts | $2k |
A price of 29% means traders pay about $0.29 for a “CJ Carr” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| CUTJALENHURTS | Jeremiah Smith · No | $40k | +$14k |
| 0x2c33…0563 | Jeremiah Smith · Yes | $11k | +$1k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Trinidad Chambliss · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Gunner Stockton · No | $2k | – |
| macrosteaks | Jeremiah Smith · No | $2k | +$852 |
| Robbb | Darian Mensah · No | $2k | +$1 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Jeremiah Smith · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Darian Mensah · No | $2k | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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