As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Winner at 52%, Spread -1.5 at 50% and O/U 227.5 at 48%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Winner moved the most this week: 44% to 52% (+8.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | 52% | +3.0 pts | +8.5 pts | $31k |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% | −1.5 pts | −1.5 pts | $10k |
| O/U 227.5 | 48% | −1.5 pts | −1.5 pts | $30k |
| O/U 228.5 | 46% | −4.0 pts | −4.0 pts | $27k |
| O/U 229.5 | 44% | −6.5 pts | −6.5 pts | $23k |
A price of 52% means traders pay about $0.52 for a “Winner” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| JoeyAroyyOO | O/U 228.5 · No | $14k | −$203 |
| JoeyAroyyOO | O/U 229.5 · No | $11k | −$74 |
| JoeyAroyyOO | O/U 227.5 · No | $10k | −$197 |
| beaverfever0 | Winner · Yes | $5k | −$144 |
| nehcnehc | Spread -1.5 · Yes | $5k | −$161 |
| HomeRunHazard | Spread -1.5 · No | $5k | +$46 |
| hi774c | O/U 228.5 · Yes | $5k | +$33 |
| nakamoshi | Winner · No | $3k | −$100 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.