As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 48% chance for “Lakers vs. Hawks”, up from 44% a week ago.
It barely moved in the past 24 hours, and stood at 40% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48% | 0.0 pts | +4.5 pts | $8k |
A price of 48% means traders pay about $0.48 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roht | No | $998 | +$10 |
| mooseborzoi | Yes | $984 | −$40 |
| nigiri99 | Yes | $683 | −$29 |
| ic4cream | No | $597 | −$9 |
| Tys0n8686 | No | $550 | +$14 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.