As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Luka Doncic at 41%, followed by Victor Wembanyama at 29% and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at 10%.
Luka Doncic moved the most this week: 20% to 41% (+21.6 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 41% | +0.8 pts | +21.6 pts | $16k |
| Victor Wembanyama | 29% | −0.5 pts | −7.0 pts | $13k |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 10% | −2.0 pts | −4.0 pts | $6k |
| Nikola Jokic | 8% | 0.0 pts | −1.0 pts | $10k |
| Stephen Curry | 2% | +1.1 pts | +0.8 pts | $14k |
A price of 41% means traders pay about $0.41 for a “Luka Doncic” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Stephen Curry · No | $13k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Nikola Jokic · No | $12k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · No | $12k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Victor Wembanyama · No | $10k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Luka Doncic · No | $8k | – |
| 0F62 | Nikola Jokic · No | $2k | +$50 |
| chillballer | Victor Wembanyama · No | $1k | +$11 |
| Marios15t | Luka Doncic · Yes | $1k | +$304 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.