As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is October at 90%, followed by November at 5% and December at 3%.
No outcome moved more than 2 points over the past week.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October | 90% | 0.0 pts | −1.0 pts | $5k |
| November | 5% | −2.5 pts | +1.9 pts | $20 |
| December | 3% | 0.0 pts | +0.5 pts | $0 |
A price of 90% means traders pay about $0.90 for a “October” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | December · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | November · No | $2k | – |
| Astraeight | October · Yes | $2k | +$111 |
| FelicityBright | October · Yes | $522 | −$15 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Climate & Culture · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.