As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are 1470+ at 38%, 1480+ at 14% and 1490+ at 10%.
1480+ moved the most this week: 28% to 14% (−14.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1470+ | 38% | +8.5 pts | −4.0 pts | $14k |
| 1480+ | 14% | −2.5 pts | −14.0 pts | $0 |
| 1490+ | 10% | 0.0 pts | −9.0 pts | $0 |
| 1500+ | 6% | −0.5 pts | −4.5 pts | $1k |
| 1510+ | 3% | −0.2 pts | −3.8 pts | $0 |
A price of 38% means traders pay about $0.38 for a “1470+” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| iutwpfal | 1470+ · No | $7k | +$2k |
| iutwpfal | 1480+ · No | $4k | +$842 |
| recallcp | 1490+ · No | $3k | +$310 |
| BigMackyG | 1470+ · Yes | $2k | −$1k |
| troim | 1470+ · No | $1k | +$548 |
| wannatakemoney | 1470+ · Yes | $760 | −$280 |
| soll2 | 1470+ · Yes | $639 | −$256 |
| recallcp | 1480+ · No | $589 | +$215 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.