As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 3% chance for “Israeli Knesset election annulled”, down from 3% a week ago.
It barely moved in the past 24 hours, and stood at 12% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | −0.3 pts | −0.8 pts | $41k |
A price of 3% means traders pay about $0.03 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| QMG-CORE | No | $9k | +$17 |
| Car | No | $8k | +$185 |
| Tenebrus7 | No | $5k | +$58 |
| vinii | No | $4k | +$452 |
| yen4u | No | $4k | +$86 |
| MisTKy | No | $2k | +$296 |
| DonationsReceiver | No | $2k | +$38 |
| Yakira2025 | Yes | $751 | −$5k |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.