The deadline passed on 27 October 2026. The market is waiting for the official result, so prices may still move before it settles. How markets resolve.
As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 30% chance for “Israeli election results in a hung parliament”, down from 42% a week ago.
It moved −4.0 pts in the past 24 hours, and stood at 36% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 30% | −4.0 pts | −11.5 pts | $35k |
A price of 30% means traders pay about $0.30 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| ydxistheking | No | $17k | +$1k |
| cigarettes | No | $4k | +$314 |
| HolyMoses7 | No | $2k | +$917 |
| defillama7 | Yes | $2k | −$703 |
| denizz | Yes | $2k | −$1k |
| 65765757 | No | $1k | +$177 |
| ChronoSpy | No | $1k | +$5 |
| MissaoComFlavio | No | $1k | −$17 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.