As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 8 at 56%, followed by 7 at 35% and Greater than 8 at 12%.
7 moved the most this week: 20% to 35% (+15.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 56% | −3.0 pts | −9.5 pts | $0 |
| 7 | 35% | +2.8 pts | +15.5 pts | $1k |
| Greater than 8 | 12% | −0.5 pts | −6.0 pts | $0 |
A price of 56% means traders pay about $0.56 for a “8” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Greater than 8 · No | $10k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 7 · No | $7k | – |
| michi1 | 8 · Yes | $5k | +$2k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 8 · No | $5k | – |
| FinStar | 7 · No | $2k | −$470 |
| w... | 7 · Yes | $1k | +$1k |
| gugagugagu | 7 · Yes | $1k | +$1k |
| 101456 | Greater than 8 · No | $1k | +$463 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Climate & Culture · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.