As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are 60%+ at 60%, 65%+ at 28% and 70%+ at 9%.
60%+ moved the most this week: 67% to 60% (−6.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60%+ | 60% | −5.5 pts | −6.5 pts | $3k |
| 65%+ | 28% | +4.0 pts | +3.5 pts | $2k |
| 70%+ | 9% | −1.5 pts | −4.5 pts | $550 |
| 80%+ | 2% | −3.4 pts | −1.4 pts | $351 |
| 90%+ | 2% | −3.7 pts | −2.0 pts | $10 |
A price of 60% means traders pay about $0.60 for a “60%+” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Djibooty | 65%+ · No | $2k | +$431 |
| Olcan | 60%+ · No | $2k | −$330 |
| Olcan | 65%+ · No | $2k | +$129 |
| Olcan | 70%+ · No | $1k | +$98 |
| 0xe38e…50c8 | 60%+ · Yes | $956 | +$234 |
| vinii | 60%+ · Yes | $879 | +$70 |
| 0x2b67…b814 | 65%+ · Yes | $769 | −$508 |
| spxtest | 60%+ · Yes | $676 | +$0 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.