As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are 1450+ at 62%, 1460+ at 32% and 1470+ at 30%.
1460+ moved the most this week: 52% to 32% (−20.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1430+ | 87% | +6.5 pts | +7.5 pts | $6k |
| 1440+ | 74% | +0.5 pts | +0.5 pts | $4k |
| 1450+ | 62% | +7.5 pts | −1.0 pts | $3k |
| 1460+ | 32% | −5.5 pts | −20.5 pts | $3k |
| 1470+ | 30% | −5.0 pts | −3.5 pts | $11k |
A price of 87% means traders pay about $0.87 for a “1430+” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| SingletonFamilyFund | 1450+ · Yes | $1k | +$215 |
| Hannah-Montana | 1470+ · No | $745 | +$57 |
| Hannah-Montana | 1460+ · No | $552 | +$109 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.