As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are 60%+ at 91%, 65%+ at 40% and 70%+ at 20%.
65%+ moved the most this week: 30% to 40% (+9.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55%+ | 94% | 0.0 pts | +4.0 pts | $0 |
| 60%+ | 91% | 0.0 pts | +1.5 pts | $2k |
| 65%+ | 40% | −6.5 pts | +9.0 pts | $3k |
| 70%+ | 20% | −4.5 pts | +7.0 pts | $4k |
A price of 94% means traders pay about $0.94 for a “55%+” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| recallcp | 55%+ · Yes | $2k | +$46 |
| KimchiCapital | 60%+ · Yes | $1k | +$168 |
| KimchiCapital | 55%+ · Yes | $854 | +$104 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.