As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are 60k+ at 49%, 80k+ at 27% and 100k+ at 32%.
160k+ moved the most this week: 51% to 2% (−49.4 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60k+ | 49% | −43.6 pts | −18.9 pts | $12k |
| 80k+ | 27% | −23.0 pts | −45.5 pts | $4k |
| 100k+ | 32% | −3.5 pts | −18.5 pts | $1k |
| 120k+ | 18% | −6.6 pts | −32.1 pts | $3k |
| 160k+ | 2% | −3.9 pts | −49.4 pts | $1k |
A price of 49% means traders pay about $0.49 for a “60k+” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| title1 | 60k+ · No | $1k | +$1k |
| shovelingdigging | 60k+ · Yes | $1k | −$981 |
| pykue | 60k+ · Yes | $1k | −$977 |
| 0x7272…a67d | 60k+ · No | $1k | +$849 |
| title1 | 80k+ · No | $634 | +$365 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Climate & Culture · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.