As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Boston, MA by November 15 at 52%, Buffalo, NY by November 15 at 48% and Detroit, MI by November 15 at 48%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Boston, MA by November 15 moved the most this week: 24% to 52% (+27.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston, MA by November 15 | 52% | +1.0 pts | +27.5 pts | $0 |
| Buffalo, NY by November 15 | 48% | 0.0 pts | −3.5 pts | $0 |
| Detroit, MI by November 15 | 48% | −2.5 pts | +25.5 pts | $0 |
| Chicago, IL by November 15 | 41% | +2.5 pts | +2.5 pts | $110 |
| Kansas City, MO by November 15 | 7% | +0.5 pts | −25.0 pts | $622 |
A price of 52% means traders pay about $0.52 for a “Boston, MA by November 15” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.