As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Winner at 55%, Spread -1.5 at 51% and O/U 151.5 at 43%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
O/U 154.5 moved the most this week: 49% to 40% (−8.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | 55% | +8.0 pts | −4.0 pts | $6k |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% | +1.0 pts | +1.0 pts | $518 |
| O/U 151.5 | 43% | −7.5 pts | −7.5 pts | $5 |
| O/U 154.5 | 40% | −8.5 pts | −8.5 pts | $285 |
| O/U 155.5 | 40% | −7.0 pts | −7.0 pts | $248 |
A price of 55% means traders pay about $0.55 for a “Winner” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| gagarin59 | Winner · Yes | $1k | +$9 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.