The deadline passed on 8 November 2026. The market is waiting for the official result, so prices may still move before it settles. How markets resolve.
As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Spread -26.5 at 91%, Spread -27.5 at 74% and Spread -28.5 at 73%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Spread -26.5 moved the most this week: 50% to 91% (+41.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -26.5 | 91% | +41.0 pts | +41.0 pts | $525 |
| Spread -27.5 | 74% | +5.0 pts | +5.0 pts | $5k |
| Spread -28.5 | 73% | +23.0 pts | +23.0 pts | $22k |
| O/U 149.5 | 72% | +24.0 pts | +24.0 pts | $91 |
| O/U 151.5 | 68% | +17.0 pts | +17.0 pts | $570 |
A price of 91% means traders pay about $0.91 for a “Spread -26.5” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| hi774c | Spread -28.5 · Yes | $13k | +$5k |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Spread -28.5 · No | $5k | −$6k |
| mooseborzoi | Spread -27.5 · Yes | $1k | +$341 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.