As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Spread -1.5 at 56%, Spread -2.5 at 52% and O/U 161.5 at 50%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Winner moved the most this week: 28% to 42% (+13.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -1.5 | 56% | +4.0 pts | +4.0 pts | $601 |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% | +0.5 pts | +0.5 pts | $611 |
| O/U 161.5 | 50% | −1.5 pts | −1.5 pts | $861 |
| Winner | 42% | 0.0 pts | +13.5 pts | $21k |
| Spread -3.5 | 40% | −10.0 pts | −10.0 pts | $12k |
A price of 56% means traders pay about $0.56 for a “Spread -1.5” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassy-Bucket | Winner · Yes | $12k | +$750 |
| nigiri99 | Winner · No | $10k | −$585 |
| forecastication4 | Spread -3.5 · No | $9k | +$2k |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Spread -3.5 · Yes | $8k | −$3k |
| ic4cream | Winner · No | $4k | −$234 |
| mooseborzoi | Winner · Yes | $3k | −$11 |
| imjustkenisghey | Winner · No | $2k | −$43 |
| vibing123 | Winner · No | $1k | −$85 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.