As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Xiaomi at 39%, followed by Alibaba at 38% and Moonshot at 8%.
Xiaomi moved the most this week: 46% to 39% (−6.9 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xiaomi | 39% | −0.2 pts | −6.9 pts | $4k |
| Alibaba | 38% | −1.5 pts | +4.0 pts | $2k |
| Moonshot | 8% | +1.0 pts | −3.0 pts | $2k |
| Tencent | 5% | −1.7 pts | +3.6 pts | $4k |
| MiniMax | 2% | +0.3 pts | +0.5 pts | $2k |
A price of 39% means traders pay about $0.39 for a “Xiaomi” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | MiniMax · No | $4k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Tencent · No | $4k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Moonshot · No | $3k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Alibaba · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Xiaomi · No | $2k | – |
| chriszyy3 | Tencent · No | $1k | +$7 |
| rewardbots | Xiaomi · Yes | $714 | +$43 |
| twinklejch | MiniMax · No | $693 | −$3 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.