As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 94% chance for “Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22”, up from 93% a week ago.
It barely moved in the past 24 hours, and stood at 89% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 94% | +0.1 pts | +1.3 pts | $0 |
A price of 94% means traders pay about $0.94 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lukasburner | Yes | $3k | +$3k |
| MarvelousManou | Yes | $2k | +$2k |
| 2829 | Yes | $1k | +$35 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | No | $530 | – |
| iutwpfal | Yes | $518 | +$47 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Climate & Culture · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.