As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Lindsay Clancy at 32%, followed by Erling Haaland at 12% and Bad Bunny at 6%.
Lindsay Clancy moved the most this week: 37% to 32% (−5.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Clancy | 32% | +2.0 pts | −5.0 pts | $3k |
| Erling Haaland | 12% | 0.0 pts | +1.0 pts | $1k |
| Bad Bunny | 6% | 0.0 pts | −3.5 pts | $412 |
| Donald Trump | 4% | −0.8 pts | −2.3 pts | $1k |
| Matt Damon | 1% | 0.0 pts | −0.2 pts | $0 |
A price of 32% means traders pay about $0.32 for a “Lindsay Clancy” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Matt Damon · No | $20k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Donald Trump · No | $19k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Bad Bunny · No | $19k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Erling Haaland · No | $18k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Lindsay Clancy · No | $14k | – |
| forever123 | Erling Haaland · No | $5k | +$451 |
| 0x8931…a90c | Donald Trump · No | $4k | +$233 |
| Anjun | Erling Haaland · No | $4k | +$214 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.