As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Obsession at 40%, followed by The Odyssey at 40% and Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 10%.
Obsession moved the most this week: 44% to 40% (−3.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsession | 40% | −1.0 pts | −3.0 pts | $3k |
| The Odyssey | 40% | −0.5 pts | +2.0 pts | $438 |
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 10% | −1.0 pts | −2.0 pts | $49 |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 6% | +0.1 pts | +1.3 pts | $535 |
| Michael | 1% | −0.2 pts | +1.0 pts | $55 |
A price of 40% means traders pay about $0.40 for a “Obsession” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anjun | Avengers: Doomsday · No | $19k | +$794 |
| TheEmprah | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · No | $7k | +$78 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Michael · No | $5k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Avengers: Doomsday · No | $5k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · No | $4k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | The Odyssey · No | $3k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Obsession · No | $3k | – |
| AllByMyseIf | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · No | $2k | +$126 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.