As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 2% chance for “Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026”, unchanged from a week ago.
It moved +0.5 pts in the past 24 hours, and stood at 2% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | +0.5 pts | −0.2 pts | $41k |
A price of 2% means traders pay about $0.02 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| rulki | No | $25k | +$1k |
| 0x333e…369b | No | $20k | +$884 |
| ANGGGuess | No | $15k | +$469 |
| SteamRollerPennies | No | $9k | +$604 |
| 0xe120…283e | No | $7k | +$59 |
| 0xdafd…5ffb | No | $5k | +$247 |
| 100x | No | $4k | +$272 |
| polywanta | No | $3k | +$180 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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