nimb
Politics · Israel & Gaza

Who will be arrested before 2027?

As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are James Comey at 8%, José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero at 4% and Anthony Fauci at 3%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.

Anthony Fauci moved the most this week: 6% to 3% (−2.4 pts).

Open on the mapRules and result on Polymarket

Chances now

New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean

OutcomeChance24 hours7 daysTraded, 7 days
James Comey8%0.0 pts−0.5 pts$3k
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%−0.4 pts−0.6 pts$948
Anthony Fauci3%0.0 pts−2.4 pts$3k
Benjamin Netanyahu2%−0.5 pts−0.7 pts$3k
Hillary Clinton1%−0.4 pts−0.4 pts$2k

A price of 8% means traders pay about $0.08 for a “James Comey” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.

Key facts

Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees

Largest public holders

WalletHoldsValueUnrealised P&L
FilobestiaAnthony Fauci · No$18k+$1k
aviatoAnthony Fauci · No$12k+$2k
0x6c10…df5cAnthony Fauci · No$9k+$686
bearbees2Anthony Fauci · No$9k+$314
DFKJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero · No$7k+$941
0x8333…ef3eAnthony Fauci · No$4k+$283
AlexiosVAnthony Fauci · No$3k+$160
DEGENKHANHillary Clinton · No$3k+$70

Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.

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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.