As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is No solution by Dec 31, 2027 at 30%, followed by Yang-Mills at 26% and Hodge Conjecture at 19%.
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer moved the most this week: 16% to 6% (−9.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No solution by Dec 31, 2027 | 30% | 0.0 pts | −8.0 pts | $4k |
| Yang-Mills | 26% | +5.0 pts | +5.4 pts | $2k |
| Hodge Conjecture | 19% | −0.5 pts | −1.5 pts | $906 |
| Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer | 6% | −9.5 pts | −9.5 pts | $5k |
| Riemann Hypothesis | 4% | +0.2 pts | +0.8 pts | $583 |
A price of 30% means traders pay about $0.30 for a “No solution by Dec 31, 2027” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Riemann Hypothesis · No | $13k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer · No | $13k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Hodge Conjecture · No | $11k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Yang-Mills · No | $10k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | No solution by Dec 31, 2027 · No | $10k | – |
| groth | No solution by Dec 31, 2027 · Yes | $2k | −$100 |
| wqujvj | No solution by Dec 31, 2027 · No | $2k | +$15 |
| purplegatto | No solution by Dec 31, 2027 · No | $2k | +$101 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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