The favourite on Polymarket is December 31, 2028 at 31%, followed by June 30, 2027 at 13% and December 31, 2027 at 12%.
December 31, 2027 moved the most this week: 18% to 12% (−5.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2028 | 31% | −0.5 pts | +0.5 pts | $381 |
| June 30, 2027 | 13% | 0.0 pts | 0.0 pts | $0 |
| December 31, 2027 | 12% | −6.0 pts | −5.0 pts | $35k |
| December 31, 2026 | 3% | 0.0 pts | −0.9 pts | $0 |
A price of 12% means traders pay $0.12 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| whig | December 31, 2027 · No | $4k | +$17k |
| 0x49F206 | December 31, 2028 · No | $3k | +$4k |
| BikesAreTheBikes | December 31, 2028 · Yes | $2k | −$148 |
| 1nvoker1 | December 31, 2027 · Yes | $2k | −$324 |
| 0x8f69…2923 | December 31, 2028 · Yes | $2k | −$109 |
| 0xdc3E831cad | December 31, 2028 · No | $1k | +$1k |
| Debosnys | June 30, 2027 · No | $548 | +$3k |
| 1nvoker1 | December 31, 2028 · No | $343 | +$405 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.