As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Bad Bunny at 95%, followed by Drake at 3%.
Bad Bunny moved the most this week: 84% to 95% (+10.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bad Bunny | 95% | −1.0 pts | +10.5 pts | $12k |
| Drake | 3% | +0.3 pts | −4.1 pts | $9k |
A price of 95% means traders pay about $0.95 for a “Bad Bunny” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Drake · No | $33k | – |
| pkz | Bad Bunny · Yes | $23k | +$3k |
| Ross1212 | Bad Bunny · Yes | $5k | +$1k |
| 0x919d…60e1 | Bad Bunny · Yes | $5k | +$827 |
| chocolate123 | Bad Bunny · Yes | $4k | +$3k |
| Contestable-Parfait | Bad Bunny · Yes | $3k | +$276 |
| 0xec98…afcd | Bad Bunny · Yes | $2k | +$120 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Bad Bunny · No | $2k | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Climate & Culture · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.