The deadline passed on 4 November 2026. The market is waiting for the official result, so prices may still move before it settles. How markets resolve.
As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Victoria Broderick (D) at 95%, followed by Scott DesJarlais (R) at 4%.
Victoria Broderick (D) moved the most this week: 1% to 95% (+94.2 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Broderick (D) | 95% | −0.8 pts | +94.2 pts | $21k |
| Scott DesJarlais (R) | 4% | +0.6 pts | −93.4 pts | $21k |
A price of 95% means traders pay about $0.95 for a “Victoria Broderick (D)” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Scott DesJarlais (R) · No | $6k | – |
| Gaditima | Victoria Broderick (D) · Yes | $2k | +$601 |
| GCRClasic | Victoria Broderick (D) · Yes | $1k | +$25 |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Victoria Broderick (D) · Yes | $1k | +$186 |
| LornaPredicts | Victoria Broderick (D) · Yes | $1k | +$1k |
| 0x0c0e…434e | Scott DesJarlais (R) · No | $1k | −$17 |
| soapbubbles | Victoria Broderick (D) · Yes | $1k | +$495 |
| 0xf2b0…b26b | Victoria Broderick (D) · Yes | $706 | +$8 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.