The deadline passed on 4 November 2026. The market is waiting for the official result, so prices may still move before it settles. How markets resolve.
As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Hakeem Jeffries at 90%, followed by Katherine Clark at 4% and Pete Aguilar at 3%.
Katherine Clark moved the most this week: 1% to 4% (+2.9 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hakeem Jeffries | 90% | −4.1 pts | −1.2 pts | $61k |
| Katherine Clark | 4% | +0.7 pts | +2.9 pts | $0 |
| Pete Aguilar | 3% | 0.0 pts | +1.6 pts | $0 |
A price of 90% means traders pay about $0.90 for a “Hakeem Jeffries” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x64c8…73ce | Hakeem Jeffries · Yes | $9k | −$375 |
| Bperil | Hakeem Jeffries · Yes | $5k | −$117 |
| MrNoItAll | Hakeem Jeffries · Yes | $4k | −$131 |
| Scattershot88 | Hakeem Jeffries · Yes | $3k | −$154 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Hakeem Jeffries · Yes | $3k | −$47 |
| .FiveDollarFootlong | Hakeem Jeffries · Yes | $3k | −$94 |
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Hakeem Jeffries · Yes | $2k | +$57 |
| franklin10 | Hakeem Jeffries · No | $2k | +$13 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Politics · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.