As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are $100M at 72%, $150M at 44% and $200M at 34%.
$100M moved the most this week: 77% to 72% (−4.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $60M | 90% | 0.0 pts | −2.9 pts | $0 |
| $75M | 85% | −0.2 pts | +1.8 pts | $9 |
| $100M | 72% | −1.0 pts | −4.5 pts | $3k |
| $150M | 44% | 0.0 pts | 0.0 pts | $0 |
| $200M | 34% | −2.5 pts | +3.5 pts | $1k |
A price of 90% means traders pay about $0.90 for a “$60M” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| apiwat | $75M · Yes | $854 | −$93 |
| gydmasg | $100M · Yes | $793 | −$22 |
| hortikkk | $100M · No | $720 | +$139 |
| BuyerOfNo | $100M · Yes | $692 | −$2 |
| cosmicleverage | $200M · No | $537 | −$19 |
| Gyoo | $100M · Yes | $528 | −$26 |
| mewmew1 | $200M · No | $521 | +$22 |
| mewmew1 | $150M · No | $516 | +$75 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Crypto · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.