As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Malaysia at 55%, followed by Philippines at 26% and Vietnam at 8%.
Laos moved the most this week: 46% to 5% (−40.6 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaysia | 55% | +1.5 pts | +22.0 pts | $19k |
| Philippines | 26% | −6.0 pts | −0.5 pts | $3k |
| Vietnam | 8% | +4.4 pts | −4.8 pts | $2k |
| Laos | 5% | −1.4 pts | −40.6 pts | $2k |
| Nepal | 2% | −2.1 pts | −0.4 pts | $2k |
A price of 55% means traders pay about $0.55 for a “Malaysia” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harmonicca | Malaysia · Yes | $6k | −$35 |
| anoin123 | Malaysia · No | $4k | −$85 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Nepal · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Laos · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Vietnam · No | $1k | – |
| TheYachtFund | Malaysia · Yes | $1k | +$384 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Philippines · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Malaysia · No | $722 | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.