As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 86% chance for “Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31”, down from 92% a week ago.
It moved +4.5 pts in the past 24 hours, and stood at 92% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 86% | +4.5 pts | −6.0 pts | $25k |
A price of 86% means traders pay about $0.86 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| thoodr | Yes | $15k | −$927 |
| 0xef97…ab2c | Yes | $9k | −$560 |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | Yes | $6k | −$291 |
| 0x2b67…b814 | No | $4k | +$1k |
| phdcapital | Yes | $2k | +$175 |
| Cryp | Yes | $2k | −$91 |
| edwardmarkfly | No | $1k | +$268 |
| HEBI55 | Yes | $860 | −$60 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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