As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Meta at 55%, followed by Anthropic at 33% and OpenAI at 5%.
Anthropic moved the most this week: 20% to 33% (+12.3 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meta | 55% | +6.0 pts | +1.0 pts | $3k |
| Anthropic | 33% | −8.1 pts | +12.3 pts | $6k |
| OpenAI | 5% | 0.0 pts | −6.5 pts | $0 |
| 3% | −0.9 pts | −0.5 pts | $0 | |
| Moonshot | 2% | 0.0 pts | −0.9 pts | $0 |
A price of 55% means traders pay about $0.55 for a “Meta” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Moonshot · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Google · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | OpenAI · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Anthropic · No | $940 | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Meta · No | $629 | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.