As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Sport Lisboa e Benfica at 82%, followed by Draw (CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica) at 12% and CF Estrela da Amadora at 6%.
CF Estrela da Amadora moved the most this week: 12% to 6% (−6.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 82% | +1.0 pts | −2.0 pts | $17k |
| Draw (CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica) | 12% | −1.0 pts | −2.0 pts | $1k |
| CF Estrela da Amadora | 6% | −1.0 pts | −6.0 pts | $6k |
A price of 82% means traders pay about $0.82 for a “Sport Lisboa e Benfica” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| notgoodluck | Sport Lisboa e Benfica · Yes | $9k | +$130 |
| bobjberg | Sport Lisboa e Benfica · Yes | $2k | −$30 |
| Venusian | Draw (CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica) · No | $1k | −$0 |
| sQuadyyy | Sport Lisboa e Benfica · Yes | $1k | +$13 |
| GoalLineGhost | CF Estrela da Amadora · No | $736 | +$12 |
| Yar0202 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica · Yes | $590 | −$2 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | CF Estrela da Amadora · No | $551 | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Draw (CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica) · No | $521 | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.