The deadline passed on 8 November 2026. The market is waiting for the official result, so prices may still move before it settles. How markets resolve.
As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 100% chance for “Will OGC Nice win on 2026-11-08”, up from 47% a week ago.
It moved +52.0 pts in the past 24 hours, and stood at 47% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +52.0 pts | +52.5 pts | $150k |
A price of 100% means traders pay about $1.00 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| omnibus-076daa | Yes | $117k | +$55k |
| 0xde5d…9192 | Yes | $3k | +$1k |
| 0x5eff…ae94 | Yes | $3k | +$1k |
| 0x4789…994a | Yes | $2k | +$9 |
| 8D1cDXikbIYM5T | Yes | $1k | +$314 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | $996 | – |
| 0x7609…6c4e | Yes | $995 | +$473 |
| agangin123 | Yes | $995 | +$463 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.