The deadline passed on 8 November 2026. The market is waiting for the official result, so prices may still move before it settles. How markets resolve.
As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 0% chance for “Spread: AZ (-1.5)”, down from 42% a week ago.
It moved −41.5 pts in the past 24 hours, and stood at 39% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −41.5 pts | −41.5 pts | $38k |
A price of 0% means traders pay about $0.00 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1l2ihj34li12u34 | No | $14k | +$6k |
| RN1 | No | $9k | +$4k |
| rabbitfoot1 | No | $2k | +$690 |
| topdogbigboi | No | $661 | +$121 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.