As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Match Winner at 78%, Map 2 Winner at 78% and Map 1 Winner at 72%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Map 2 Winner moved the most this week: 50% to 78% (+28.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | 78% | +3.0 pts | +7.5 pts | $25k |
| Map 2 Winner | 78% | −1.0 pts | +28.5 pts | $0 |
| Map 1 Winner | 72% | +5.0 pts | +21.5 pts | $0 |
| Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) | 52% | +2.0 pts | +6.0 pts | $9k |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | 0.0 pts | +0.5 pts | $10 |
A price of 78% means traders pay about $0.78 for a “Match Winner” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| TrippleEX | Match Winner · Yes | $8k | +$150 |
| relativesignificance | Match Winner · Yes | $7k | +$113 |
| JohnnyWins | Match Winner · No | $3k | −$287 |
| Stickman22 | Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) · No | $2k | −$66 |
| ZagreusCS2 | Match Winner · Yes | $2k | +$9 |
| Rayaya | Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) · Yes | $2k | +$50 |
| Rayaya | Match Winner · Yes | $1k | +$39 |
| ABLASTOFF | Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) · Yes | $1k | −$35 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.