As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Draw at 74%, followed by West Indies at 24% and Bangladesh at 2%.
Bangladesh moved the most this week: 44% to 2% (−41.7 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 74% | +39.5 pts | +31.0 pts | $6k |
| West Indies | 24% | +0.5 pts | −21.0 pts | $11k |
| Bangladesh | 2% | −37.7 pts | −41.7 pts | $16k |
A price of 74% means traders pay about $0.74 for a “Draw” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borough1 | Bangladesh · No | $4k | +$15 |
| RDLedger | Bangladesh · No | $624 | +$85 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Bangladesh · No | $538 | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.