As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Winner at 66% and Completed Match at 55%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Winner moved the most this week: 53% to 66% (+12.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | 66% | +12.5 pts | +12.5 pts | $24k |
| Completed Match | 55% | +6.5 pts | +6.5 pts | $0 |
A price of 66% means traders pay about $0.66 for a “Winner” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Winner · Yes | $1k | +$159 |
| thestingsnake | Winner · Yes | $819 | +$102 |
| 38791873984189 | Winner · Yes | $679 | +$183 |
| 0x7737…37d7 | Winner · No | $504 | −$137 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.