The favourite on Polymarket is Pete Buttigieg at 96%, followed by Ted Cruz at 84% and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 60%.
Pete Buttigieg moved the most this week: 78% to 96% (+18.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Buttigieg | 96% | +12.0 pts | +18.0 pts | $7k |
| Ted Cruz | 84% | +7.5 pts | +12.5 pts | $6k |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 60% | +9.0 pts | −3.5 pts | $12k |
| Jon Ossoff | 58% | 0.0 pts | +8.5 pts | $7k |
| Marco Rubio | 55% | +6.5 pts | +15.0 pts | $6k |
A price of 60% means traders pay $0.60 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| bernardbulletin | Pete Buttigieg · Yes | $3k | +$346 |
| bernardbulletin | Ted Cruz · Yes | $2k | +$151 |
| mombil | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · No | $2k | −$704 |
| i2dt | Jon Ossoff · Yes | $2k | +$140 |
| 0xcf19…6402 | Jon Ossoff · No | $2k | −$272 |
| bernardbulletin | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · Yes | $1k | +$136 |
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Marco Rubio · Yes | $1k | +$242 |
| Lisbon | Marco Rubio · No | $667 | −$33 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.