The favourite on Polymarket is Democratic at 68%, followed by Republican at 32%.
Democratic moved the most this week: 64% to 68% (+3.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 68% | 0.0 pts | +3.0 pts | $82k |
| Republican | 32% | 0.0 pts | −2.0 pts | $78k |
A price of 68% means traders pay $0.68 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Democratic · No | $85k | −$85k |
| ndb1 | Democratic · No | $51k | −$27k |
| loganx | Democratic · Yes | $49k | +$564 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Republican · No | $41k | −$41k |
| rhmaxi | Democratic · Yes | $25k | −$74 |
| alwayssaytrue | Democratic · Yes | $25k | −$553 |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Democratic · No | $19k | −$8k |
| m4rius | Democratic · Yes | $15k | −$392 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.