Traders on Polymarket see a 29% chance for “Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026”, up 0.5 points over the past week.
No outcome moved more than 2 points over the past week.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 29% | 0.0 pts | +0.5 pts | $83k |
A price of 29% means traders pay $0.29 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| N.sam | No | $2k | +$3k |
| WeJustBettin | No | $277 | +$374 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.