The favourite on Polymarket is Talarico 12%+ at 96%, followed by Talarico 9-12% at 3%.
Talarico 12%+ moved the most this week: 4% to 96% (+92.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talarico 12%+ | 96% | −1.4 pts | +92.0 pts | $242k |
| Talarico 9-12% | 3% | +1.6 pts | −0.4 pts | $118k |
A price of 96% means traders pay $0.96 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Talarico 12%+ · No | $53k | −$53k |
| Melody626 | Talarico 12%+ · No | $39k | −$11k |
| Rhabarberbarbarbar | Talarico 12%+ · Yes | $19k | +$12k |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Talarico 12%+ · Yes | $11k | +$7k |
| 0x04fb…5968 | Talarico 12%+ · Yes | $11k | +$8k |
| eh-perps | Talarico 12%+ · Yes | $7k | +$4k |
| title1 | Talarico 12%+ · Yes | $5k | +$2k |
| 0x6519…611b | Talarico 12%+ · Yes | $4k | +$2k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.