The favourite on Polymarket is December 31, 2028 at 34%, followed by December 31, 2027 at 22% and June 30, 2027 at 18%.
June 30, 2027 moved the most this week: 15% to 18% (+2.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2028 | 34% | −0.5 pts | +1.0 pts | $0 |
| December 31, 2027 | 22% | 0.0 pts | −2.0 pts | $11k |
| June 30, 2027 | 18% | 0.0 pts | +2.5 pts | $0 |
| December 31, 2026 | 2% | 0.0 pts | +0.1 pts | $0 |
A price of 22% means traders pay $0.21 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1nvoker1 | December 31, 2027 · No | $1k | +$3k |
| 1nvoker1 | June 30, 2027 · No | $1k | +$4k |
| thanksforplayin | June 30, 2027 · Yes | $998 | +$7 |
| 328.400.fund | December 31, 2027 · Yes | $774 | −$60 |
| 1nvoker1 | December 31, 2028 · No | $488 | +$427 |
| Mustafalafel | June 30, 2027 · No | $388 | +$1k |
| 0x279c…2b82 | June 30, 2027 · No | $199 | +$764 |
| 0x49F206 | June 30, 2027 · No | $193 | +$711 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.