The favourite on Polymarket is June 30, 2027? at 87%, followed by March 31, 2027 at 84%.
March 31, 2027 moved the most this week: 50% to 84% (+34.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027? | 87% | +3.5 pts | +10.5 pts | $14k |
| March 31, 2027 | 84% | +30.0 pts | +34.0 pts | $4k |
A price of 87% means traders pay $0.87 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8314…0b88 | June 30, 2027? · Yes | $3k | +$271 |
| 0x8314…0b88 | March 31, 2027 · Yes | $2k | +$529 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.