The favourite on Polymarket is December 31, 2027 at 42%, followed by March 31, 2027 at 22% and December 31 at 10%.
December 31, 2027 moved the most this week: 54% to 42% (−12.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 42% | 0.0 pts | −12.0 pts | $54k |
| March 31, 2027 | 22% | 0.0 pts | −2.0 pts | $90k |
| December 31 | 10% | −1.0 pts | −2.0 pts | $88k |
A price of 22% means traders pay $0.21 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| VladimirPooper | December 31 · Yes | $13k | −$9k |
| 0xcf19…6402 | December 31, 2027 · No | $9k | +$1k |
| hopedieslast | December 31 · No | $8k | +$53k |
| tetrose | December 31 · Yes | $6k | −$4k |
| ImJustKen | December 31 · Yes | $6k | −$4k |
| GollumGekko | March 31, 2027 · Yes | $5k | −$29 |
| nonkenny90 | December 31 · No | $5k | +$34k |
| 0xcf19…6402 | March 31, 2027 · No | $5k | +$12k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.