The favourite on Polymarket is Yes at 72%, followed by Spread -6.5 at 50% and O/U 50.5 at 48%.
Spread -7.5 moved the most this week: 50% to 42% (−8.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 72% | −2.0 pts | −6.5 pts | $100k |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% | −3.0 pts | −8.0 pts | $18k |
| O/U 50.5 | 48% | −1.0 pts | −4.0 pts | $1k |
| Spread -7.5 | 42% | −2.0 pts | −8.0 pts | $9k |
| Spread -3.5 | 15% | 0.0 pts | −6.0 pts | $157 |
A price of 72% means traders pay $0.72 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| xifutloong3 | Yes · Yes | $57k | −$2k |
| hi774c | Yes · No | $42k | −$27k |
| HomeRunHazard | Yes · No | $10k | −$7k |
| 0x3dfb…abaf | Spread -6.5 · Yes | $6k | −$443 |
| HomeRunHazard | Spread -6.5 · No | $6k | −$217 |
| VeryLucky888 | Yes · No | $6k | −$4k |
| AnonymousUsername | Yes · Yes | $4k | −$30 |
| stackingsats | Yes · No | $4k | −$2k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.